Round 6

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 4 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Leeds United beat Aston Villa with a 20.4% chance.

What the matchday changed

Chances on October 19 (before the first match) against those on October 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
Leeds UnitedRelegation28.0%14.1%−13.8
EvertonChampions League38.8%28.0%−10.8
Leicester CityChampions League32.8%42.2%+9.4
TottenhamChampions League38.1%46.1%+8.0
Aston VillaChampions League18.1%10.3%−7.8
BurnleyRelegation26.6%33.4%+6.8
ArsenalChampions League30.1%23.5%−6.5
Sheffield UnitedRelegation38.1%43.0%+4.9
EvertonChampion11.0%6.1%−4.8
SouthamptonRelegation9.5%4.9%−4.6
Home 57.3%
Draw 22.3%
Away 20.4%
Home 21.4%
Draw 22.6%
Away 56.0%
Home 18.5%
Draw 21.7%
Away 59.8%
Home 40.3%
Draw 26.8%
Away 32.9%
Home 73.6%
Draw 18.4%
Away 8.1%
Home 32.7%
Draw 26.7%
Away 40.5%
Home 58.7%
Draw 22.0%
Away 19.4%
Home 43.5%
Draw 25.9%
Away 30.6%
Home 66.0%
Draw 20.2%
Away 13.8%
Home 23.0%
Draw 23.2%
Away 53.8%