Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 2 draws and 6 away wins. 4 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Southampton beat Burnley with a 24.6% chance, Leeds United beat Sheffield United with a 21.3% chance, Leicester City beat Manchester City with a 22.4% chance, and West Ham beat Wolverhampton with a 15.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 21 (before the first match) against those on September 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester City | Champions League | 44.0% | 61.7% | +17.6 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 68.0% | 51.0% | −17.0 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 41.9% | 26.4% | −15.5 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 58.0% | 72.0% | +14.0 |
| Manchester City | Champion | 23.2% | 11.1% | −12.1 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 29.3% | 40.3% | +10.9 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 25.8% | 15.3% | −10.5 |
| Wolverhampton | Champions League | 26.2% | 15.9% | −10.2 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 40.6% | 30.4% | −10.1 |
| Everton | Champions League | 20.2% | 30.3% | +10.1 |
