Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 1 draw and 6 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Arsenal beat Chelsea with a 24.2% chance and Sheffield United beat Everton with a 11.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 10 (before the first match) against those on May 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | Champions League | 24.2% | 62.6% | +38.4 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 94.9% | 60.3% | −34.5 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 4.4% | 34.5% | +30.1 |
| Tottenham | Conference League | 20.8% | 45.5% | +24.7 |
| West Ham | Europa League | 23.2% | 4.0% | −19.2 |
| Liverpool | Conference League | 22.1% | 5.6% | −16.6 |
| Everton | Conference League | 15.1% | 0.6% | −14.5 |
| West Ham | Conference League | 32.8% | 42.1% | +9.3 |
| Leicester City | Conference League | 7.8% | 0% | −7.8 |
| Leicester City | Champions League | 68.5% | 76.2% | +7.7 |
