Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, no draws and 6 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Newcastle beat Leicester City with a 14.3% chance and Chelsea beat Manchester City with a 22.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 3 (before the first match) against those on May 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | Champions League | 69.3% | 94.9% | +25.6 |
| Leicester City | Champions League | 86.7% | 68.5% | −18.2 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 18.4% | 4.4% | −13.9 |
| West Ham | Champions League | 21.1% | 7.2% | −13.8 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 10.4% | 24.2% | +13.8 |
| Leicester City | Europa League | 9.1% | 21.3% | +12.2 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 22.1% | 33.8% | +11.6 |
| Everton | Conference League | 6.0% | 15.1% | +9.1 |
| Chelsea | Conference League | 9.3% | 0.7% | −8.6 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 12.2% | 3.8% | −8.4 |
