Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Brighton & Hove Albion beat Manchester City with a 23.1% chance and Aston Villa beat Tottenham with a 19.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 16 (before the first match) against those on May 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham | Conference League | 42.1% | 93.1% | +51.0 |
| Leicester City | Champions League | 76.2% | 37.0% | −39.1 |
| Leicester City | Europa League | 23.9% | 63.0% | +39.1 |
| Tottenham | Conference League | 45.5% | 6.9% | −38.6 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 62.6% | 83.2% | +20.6 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 60.3% | 79.8% | +19.5 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 31.2% | 16.8% | −14.4 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 34.5% | 20.2% | −14.3 |
| Tottenham | Europa League | 6.4% | 0% | −6.4 |
| Liverpool | Conference League | 5.6% | 0% | −5.6 |
