Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, no draws and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Crystal Palace beat Manchester United with a 17.6% chance and Brighton & Hove Albion beat Newcastle with a 16.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 14 (before the first match) against those on September 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | Champions League | 56.1% | 37.4% | −18.7 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 36.4% | 20.1% | −16.3 |
| Wolverhampton | Champions League | 42.1% | 26.2% | −15.9 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 38.9% | 25.8% | −13.0 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Relegation | 22.4% | 10.3% | −12.1 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 43.1% | 31.1% | −12.0 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 56.4% | 68.0% | +11.6 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 18.5% | 29.6% | +11.1 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 63.3% | 74.2% | +10.9 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 52.6% | 63.4% | +10.8 |
