Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, no draws and 7 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Everton beat Tottenham with a 17.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 11 (before the first match) against those on January 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United | Relegation | 14.2% | 94.7% | +80.5 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 46.6% | 4.5% | −42.1 |
| West Bromwich Albion | Relegation | 46.7% | 88.8% | +42.1 |
| Aston Villa | Relegation | 41.3% | 0.3% | −41.0 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 39.4% | 76.1% | +36.7 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 49.2% | 14.5% | −34.8 |
| Wolverhampton | Champions League | 35.1% | 0.3% | −34.7 |
| Leicester City | Champions League | 27.5% | 61.9% | +34.4 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 32.7% | <0.1% | −32.7 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 29.6% | 3.2% | −26.4 |
