Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Burnley beat Liverpool with a 11.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 4 (before the first match) against those on March 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | Champion | 23.2% | 99.2% | +76.0 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 78.4% | 11.3% | −67.1 |
| Leicester City | Champions League | 45.5% | 87.0% | +41.6 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 24.3% | 58.2% | +33.9 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 70.5% | >99.9% | +29.6 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 28.8% | <0.1% | −28.8 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 67.4% | 94.5% | +27.1 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 54.2% | 27.8% | −26.4 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Relegation | 23.8% | 2.0% | −21.8 |
| Newcastle | Relegation | 6.2% | 26.9% | +20.7 |
