Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: West Ham beat Everton with a 21.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 30 (before the first match) against those on February 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | Champion | 14.7% | 93.4% | +78.6 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 42.6% | 0.4% | −42.2 |
| Manchester City | Champions League | 59.0% | 99.9% | +40.9 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 85.6% | 47.8% | −37.8 |
| Leicester City | Champions League | 39.9% | 74.9% | +35.0 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 44.8% | 15.8% | −29.0 |
| Everton | Champions League | 30.1% | 6.5% | −23.6 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Relegation | 26.8% | 4.9% | −21.8 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 16.2% | 2.5% | −13.7 |
| West Ham | Champions League | 2.4% | 15.8% | +13.4 |
