Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: West Bromwich Albion beat Wolverhampton with a 7.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 14 (before the first match) against those on May 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | Champion | 24.8% | 100% | +75.3 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 22.6% | 68.8% | +46.2 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 44.5% | 0.8% | −43.7 |
| Fulham | Relegation | 56.6% | 100% | +43.4 |
| West Ham | Conference League | 4.5% | 44.2% | +39.7 |
| Leicester City | Champions League | 45.1% | 82.0% | +36.8 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 77.7% | 45.5% | −32.2 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 8.4% | 36.9% | +28.5 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Relegation | 27.5% | 0% | −27.5 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 27.5% | 0% | −27.5 |
