Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Southampton beat Chelsea with a 14.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 30 (before the first match) against those on January 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby County | Relegation | 61.1% | 86.1% | +24.9 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 27.6% | 9.3% | −18.3 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 62.5% | 80.4% | +17.9 |
| Leicester City | Relegation | 67.3% | 85.0% | +17.8 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 41.0% | 27.7% | −13.3 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 73.8% | 61.7% | −12.1 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 21.1% | 9.5% | −11.5 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 27.4% | 16.7% | −10.7 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 12.7% | 23.4% | +10.7 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 20.9% | 31.0% | +10.0 |
