Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 3 draws and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Derby County beat Blackburn Rovers with a 19.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 26 (before the first match) against those on December 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | Champions League | 72.4% | 59.4% | −12.9 |
| Derby County | Relegation | 73.9% | 61.1% | −12.7 |
| Ipswich Town | Relegation | 31.3% | 20.2% | −11.1 |
| Newcastle | Europa League | 20.2% | 29.5% | +9.3 |
| Newcastle | Champion | 21.4% | 12.3% | −9.1 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 32.2% | 41.0% | +8.8 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 17.8% | 25.3% | +7.6 |
| Leeds United | Champions League | 64.1% | 70.9% | +6.8 |
| Everton | Relegation | 12.4% | 19.0% | +6.6 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 21.2% | 27.6% | +6.4 |
