Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: West Ham beat Manchester United with a 11.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 5 (before the first match) against those on December 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | Relegation | 52.1% | 37.1% | −15.0 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 44.3% | 29.3% | −15.0 |
| Leicester City | Relegation | 46.6% | 60.9% | +14.3 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 25.4% | 14.6% | −10.8 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 25.8% | 35.7% | +9.9 |
| Ipswich Town | Relegation | 37.1% | 46.5% | +9.4 |
| Leeds United | Champions League | 65.4% | 73.7% | +8.4 |
| Derby County | Relegation | 72.7% | 64.8% | −7.8 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 17.1% | 11.8% | −5.3 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 79.1% | 84.0% | +4.9 |
