Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Chelsea beat Manchester United with a 20.3% chance and Leicester City beat Aston Villa with a 10.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 25 (before the first match) against those on December 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | Champions League | 25.4% | 42.7% | +17.3 |
| Leicester City | Relegation | 62.9% | 45.8% | −17.1 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 57.3% | 41.5% | −15.8 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 40.6% | 26.1% | −14.5 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 41.1% | 50.8% | +9.7 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 67.3% | 76.7% | +9.4 |
| Ipswich Town | Relegation | 26.5% | 35.2% | +8.7 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 12.3% | 4.5% | −7.8 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 39.5% | 46.3% | +6.8 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 17.2% | 10.4% | −6.8 |
