Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: West Ham beat Nottingham with a 22.2% chance and Leicester City beat Tottenham with a 10.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 16 (before the first match) against those on September 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester City | Relegation | 61.7% | 48.3% | −13.4 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 41.7% | 51.1% | +9.4 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 52.7% | 61.9% | +9.2 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 29.1% | 21.7% | −7.4 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 23.0% | 30.4% | +7.3 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 17.4% | 10.2% | −7.2 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 24.2% | 31.0% | +6.8 |
| Coventry City | Relegation | 49.5% | 56.4% | +6.8 |
| Nottingham | Relegation | 7.8% | 13.8% | +6.0 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 27.8% | 33.4% | +5.6 |
