Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Middlesbrough beat Everton with a 23.2% chance and Wimbledon beat West Ham with a 22.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 9 (before the first match) against those on September 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry City | Relegation | 61.4% | 49.5% | −11.9 |
| Derby County | Relegation | 34.9% | 25.3% | −9.6 |
| Wimbledon | Relegation | 17.0% | 7.9% | −9.1 |
| Leicester City | Relegation | 54.2% | 61.7% | +7.5 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 27.0% | 20.9% | −6.1 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 35.7% | 41.7% | +6.0 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 41.9% | 47.7% | +5.8 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 47.2% | 52.7% | +5.5 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 18.7% | 24.2% | +5.4 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 23.8% | 29.1% | +5.3 |
