Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 23 (before the first match) against those on September 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | Relegation | 61.9% | 44.8% | −17.1 |
| Leicester City | Relegation | 48.3% | 36.6% | −11.6 |
| Derby County | Relegation | 23.4% | 33.4% | +10.1 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 18.0% | 10.1% | −7.9 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 21.7% | 28.3% | +6.6 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 22.6% | 28.1% | +5.5 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 51.1% | 56.2% | +5.1 |
| Wimbledon | Europa League | 8.1% | 12.4% | +4.2 |
| Middlesbrough | Europa League | 10.3% | 6.1% | −4.2 |
| Newcastle | Europa League | 28.0% | 32.1% | +4.1 |
