Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Derby County beat Blackburn Rovers with a 12.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 4 (before the first match) against those on September 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derby County | Relegation | 49.3% | 34.9% | −14.4 |
| Wimbledon | Relegation | 29.6% | 17.0% | −12.6 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 31.6% | 41.9% | +10.3 |
| Coventry City | Relegation | 51.8% | 61.4% | +9.6 |
| Everton | Champions League | 14.1% | 6.6% | −7.5 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 16.7% | 24.1% | +7.5 |
| Chelsea | Champions League | 9.3% | 16.2% | +6.9 |
| Sheffield Wednesday | Champions League | 12.2% | 6.2% | −6.0 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 9.0% | 15.1% | +6.0 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 32.6% | 27.0% | −5.5 |
