Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Leeds United beat Blackburn Rovers with a 20.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 26 (before the first match) against those on September 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wimbledon | Relegation | 38.0% | 29.6% | −8.4 |
| Everton | Champions League | 21.8% | 14.1% | −7.7 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 24.9% | 32.6% | +7.7 |
| Coventry City | Relegation | 44.7% | 51.8% | +7.1 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 26.7% | 32.9% | +6.2 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 15.0% | 9.0% | −5.9 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 15.1% | 20.5% | +5.4 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 11.1% | 5.9% | −5.2 |
| Aston Villa | Champion | 12.9% | 18.1% | +5.2 |
| Leicester City | Relegation | 50.2% | 55.4% | +5.2 |
