Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Sheffield Wednesday beat Newcastle with a 14.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 21 (before the first match) against those on August 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | Champions League | 24.6% | 15.1% | −9.6 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 15.6% | 24.2% | +8.5 |
| Derby County | Relegation | 45.0% | 52.1% | +7.0 |
| Leicester City | Relegation | 43.3% | 50.2% | +6.9 |
| Coventry City | Relegation | 37.9% | 44.7% | +6.8 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 21.7% | 15.0% | −6.7 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 33.0% | 26.7% | −6.4 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 18.8% | 24.9% | +6.1 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 42.0% | 36.2% | −5.8 |
| Newcastle | Champion | 12.1% | 7.0% | −5.1 |
