Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 5 (before the first match) against those on April 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham | Relegation | 48.2% | 92.8% | +44.7 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 72.1% | 38.2% | −33.9 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 15.5% | 46.2% | +30.7 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 26.9% | 54.8% | +27.9 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 46.3% | 20.6% | −25.7 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 44.1% | 67.2% | +23.1 |
| Wimbledon | Europa League | 17.5% | 0.2% | −17.3 |
| Derby County | Relegation | 18.4% | 2.0% | −16.4 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 19.0% | 6.4% | −12.6 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 34.9% | 46.9% | +11.9 |
