Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Derby County beat Coventry City with a 24.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 24 (before the first match) against those on May 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry City | Relegation | 24.1% | 85.7% | +61.7 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 46.8% | 8.4% | −38.4 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 53.2% | 91.6% | +38.4 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 60.7% | 33.4% | −27.2 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 40.8% | 65.9% | +25.1 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 59.1% | 34.2% | −25.0 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 21.1% | 0.9% | −20.3 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 12.6% | 25.8% | +13.3 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 11.8% | 0.6% | −11.2 |
| Newcastle | Europa League | 79.7% | 74.2% | −5.5 |
