Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Leicester City beat Blackburn Rovers with a 18.6% chance and Coventry City beat Tottenham with a 20.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 8 (before the first match) against those on May 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry City | Relegation | 87.8% | 0% | −87.8 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 32.7% | 100% | +67.3 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 41.1% | 100% | +58.9 |
| Newcastle | Europa League | 58.9% | 0% | −58.9 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 49.5% | 0% | −49.5 |
| Liverpool | Europa League | 50.5% | 100% | +49.5 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 79.5% | 100% | +20.5 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 90.6% | 100% | +9.4 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 9.4% | 0% | −9.4 |
