Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Sheffield Wednesday beat Leeds United with a 23.4% chance and Sunderland beat Nottingham with a 11.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 18 (before the first match) against those on August 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland | Relegation | 41.0% | 23.9% | −17.1 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 21.9% | 33.0% | +11.2 |
| Leicester City | Relegation | 54.1% | 43.3% | −10.8 |
| Wimbledon | Relegation | 24.9% | 35.6% | +10.6 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 25.1% | 15.6% | −9.5 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 13.0% | 21.7% | +8.7 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 32.3% | 40.2% | +7.9 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 10.6% | 18.4% | +7.8 |
| Nottingham | Champions League | 14.4% | 6.7% | −7.6 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 17.6% | 24.6% | +7.0 |
