Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Southampton beat Middlesbrough with a 23.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 1 (before the first match) against those on January 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | Champions League | 36.3% | 55.9% | +19.7 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 45.7% | 63.1% | +17.4 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 17.8% | 33.2% | +15.5 |
| Leicester City | Relegation | 25.8% | 37.6% | +11.9 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 59.3% | 48.5% | −10.8 |
| Coventry City | Relegation | 19.8% | 30.5% | +10.7 |
| Nottingham | Relegation | 54.3% | 43.8% | −10.6 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 48.5% | 39.1% | −9.4 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 21.7% | 13.5% | −8.2 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 27.8% | 19.8% | −8.0 |
