Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 5 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Blackburn Rovers beat Everton with a 23.3% chance and Nottingham beat West Ham with a 22.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 29 (before the first match) against those on March 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | Champions League | 43.4% | 86.9% | +43.5 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 22.0% | 63.5% | +41.5 |
| Coventry City | Relegation | 17.1% | 50.3% | +33.2 |
| Newcastle | Europa League | 29.4% | 57.9% | +28.5 |
| Wimbledon | Champions League | 27.3% | 0.3% | −27.0 |
| Leicester City | Relegation | 26.6% | 0.8% | −25.8 |
| Wimbledon | Europa League | 31.2% | 6.7% | −24.4 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 31.5% | 12.8% | −18.7 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 26.0% | 7.9% | −18.1 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 33.3% | 51.0% | +17.7 |
