Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Leeds United beat West Ham with a 24.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 14 (before the first match) against those on January 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry City | Relegation | 28.8% | 41.5% | +12.8 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 17.8% | 29.7% | +11.9 |
| Leicester City | Relegation | 35.8% | 24.0% | −11.8 |
| Wimbledon | Champions League | 25.1% | 14.2% | −10.8 |
| Nottingham | Relegation | 40.9% | 31.7% | −9.3 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 77.6% | 68.5% | −9.1 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 39.8% | 49.0% | +9.1 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 55.3% | 63.4% | +8.1 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 24.9% | 17.0% | −7.9 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 12.6% | 5.0% | −7.6 |
