Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Wimbledon beat Everton with a 24.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 26 (before the first match) against those on December 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry City | Relegation | 31.0% | 17.1% | −13.9 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 48.8% | 38.6% | −10.2 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 27.7% | 19.0% | −8.7 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 29.6% | 38.1% | +8.5 |
| West Ham | Relegation | 21.7% | 13.2% | −8.4 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 50.5% | 58.5% | +8.0 |
| Wimbledon | Champions League | 19.4% | 27.3% | +7.8 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 27.2% | 33.4% | +6.2 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 49.9% | 55.6% | +5.7 |
| Newcastle | Europa League | 24.3% | 29.4% | +5.1 |
