Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Sheffield Wednesday beat Aston Villa with a 17.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 9 (before the first match) against those on March 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | Champions League | 21.6% | 86.9% | +65.3 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 9.1% | 63.5% | +54.4 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 23.4% | 51.0% | +27.6 |
| Newcastle | Europa League | 30.7% | 57.9% | +27.2 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 39.7% | 13.0% | −26.7 |
| Coventry City | Relegation | 72.3% | 50.3% | −22.0 |
| Wimbledon | Champions League | 20.0% | 0.3% | −19.6 |
| Wimbledon | Europa League | 26.0% | 6.7% | −19.2 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 26.7% | 7.9% | −18.8 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 61.5% | 43.2% | −18.3 |
