Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Chelsea beat Aston Villa with a 20.0% chance and Coventry City beat Leeds United with a 21.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 23 (before the first match) against those on March 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | Champions League | 25.4% | 86.7% | +61.3 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 10.7% | 63.4% | +52.8 |
| Newcastle | Europa League | 28.0% | 58.8% | +30.8 |
| Leicester City | Relegation | 27.2% | 0.9% | −26.3 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 26.3% | 0.2% | −26.0 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 31.4% | 8.6% | −22.8 |
| Arsenal | Europa League | 28.3% | 50.8% | +22.5 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 20.9% | 0.1% | −20.8 |
| Manchester United | Europa League | 32.2% | 13.0% | −19.2 |
| Wimbledon | Europa League | 24.9% | 7.2% | −17.7 |
