Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Tottenham beat Blackburn Rovers with a 24.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 16 (before the first match) against those on August 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | Champions League | 29.4% | 17.6% | −11.7 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 35.0% | 46.3% | +11.3 |
| Coventry City | Relegation | 27.7% | 38.6% | +10.8 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 19.3% | 29.0% | +9.7 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 22.1% | 13.5% | −8.6 |
| Wimbledon | Relegation | 17.2% | 24.9% | +7.7 |
| Sheffield Wednesday | Relegation | 22.2% | 14.8% | −7.4 |
| Newcastle | Champion | 15.5% | 8.2% | −7.3 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 18.3% | 25.1% | +6.8 |
| Tottenham | Champions League | 9.9% | 16.6% | +6.7 |
