Round 18

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.

What the matchday changed

Chances on December 18 (before the first match) against those on May 8 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
Manchester UnitedChampion6.6%100%+93.4
Manchester UnitedChampions League17.6%100%+82.4
ArsenalEuropa League24.4%90.6%+66.2
ArsenalChampions League60.3%9.4%−50.9
SouthamptonRelegation50.7%<0.1%−50.7
MiddlesbroughRelegation37.1%79.5%+42.4
ArsenalChampion37.7%0%−37.7
NottinghamRelegation62.9%100%+37.1
Manchester UnitedEuropa League30.3%0%−30.3
WimbledonEuropa League30.3%0%−30.3
Home 52.2%
Draw 24.9%
Away 22.8%
Home 58.5%
Draw 22.7%
Away 18.8%
Home 47.4%
Draw 26.7%
Away 25.9%
Home 67.7%
Draw 19.7%
Away 12.7%
Home 29.4%
Draw 28.9%
Away 41.7%
Home 46.2%
Draw 27.2%
Away 26.7%
Home 54.7%
Draw 24.1%
Away 21.2%
Home 53.2%
Draw 24.6%
Away 22.2%
Home 45.3%
Draw 27.5%
Away 27.2%
Home 53.8%
Draw 24.4%
Away 21.8%