Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Leicester City beat Middlesbrough with a 18.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 2 (before the first match) against those on December 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester City | Relegation | 35.9% | 17.1% | −18.7 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 19.2% | 37.1% | +17.9 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 32.6% | 18.9% | −13.7 |
| Wimbledon | Champions League | 11.7% | 23.3% | +11.6 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 39.1% | 50.7% | +11.5 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 7.3% | 16.7% | +9.4 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 17.2% | 26.2% | +9.0 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 26.4% | 19.0% | −7.4 |
| Newcastle | Champion | 14.5% | 7.3% | −7.2 |
| Chelsea | Europa League | 12.3% | 5.5% | −6.8 |
