Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: no home wins, 6 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Sheffield Wednesday beat Liverpool with a 14.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 4 (before the first match) against those on December 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | Champions League | 53.1% | 39.3% | −13.8 |
| Wimbledon | Champions League | 10.0% | 20.0% | +10.0 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 28.2% | 19.6% | −8.5 |
| Aston Villa | Champions League | 10.7% | 17.1% | +6.4 |
| Coventry City | Relegation | 66.4% | 72.3% | +5.9 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 45.5% | 51.1% | +5.5 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 26.7% | 32.0% | +5.3 |
| Wimbledon | Champion | 3.4% | 8.5% | +5.1 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 66.0% | 61.5% | −4.5 |
| Newcastle | Europa League | 34.9% | 30.7% | −4.2 |
