Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Sunderland beat Everton with a 13.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 25 (before the first match) against those on December 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland | Relegation | 43.6% | 26.4% | −17.2 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 47.2% | 32.6% | −14.6 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 42.1% | 54.1% | +12.0 |
| Newcastle | Champion | 26.1% | 14.5% | −11.6 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 50.2% | 60.1% | +9.9 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 22.0% | 30.2% | +8.2 |
| Leicester City | Relegation | 28.2% | 35.9% | +7.7 |
| Nottingham | Relegation | 49.5% | 56.8% | +7.4 |
| Coventry City | Relegation | 59.2% | 66.4% | +7.2 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 29.5% | 36.6% | +7.1 |
