Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Chelsea beat Manchester United with a 18.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 28 (before the first match) against those on November 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | Champions League | 41.4% | 53.7% | +12.3 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 32.7% | 20.4% | −12.2 |
| Derby County | Relegation | 39.6% | 27.7% | −11.8 |
| Blackburn Rovers | Relegation | 32.9% | 21.2% | −11.7 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 53.2% | 41.8% | −11.4 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 25.1% | 35.6% | +10.5 |
| Newcastle | Champion | 21.3% | 31.7% | +10.4 |
| Leicester City | Relegation | 33.4% | 42.9% | +9.5 |
| Nottingham | Relegation | 28.4% | 37.4% | +9.0 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 30.9% | 22.0% | −8.9 |
