Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Leicester City beat Aston Villa with a 10.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 4 (before the first match) against those on November 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester City | Relegation | 42.9% | 25.3% | −17.6 |
| Liverpool | Champions League | 41.8% | 55.1% | +13.3 |
| Liverpool | Champion | 22.0% | 33.3% | +11.3 |
| Nottingham | Relegation | 37.4% | 47.4% | +10.0 |
| Derby County | Relegation | 27.7% | 19.0% | −8.7 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 20.4% | 29.0% | +8.6 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 47.1% | 38.6% | −8.5 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 35.6% | 43.7% | +8.0 |
| Aston Villa | Europa League | 18.9% | 11.5% | −7.4 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 25.7% | 19.2% | −6.5 |
