Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Leicester City beat Newcastle with a 21.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 20 (before the first match) against those on October 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester City | Relegation | 47.8% | 33.4% | −14.4 |
| Arsenal | Champions League | 35.0% | 47.4% | +12.4 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 53.5% | 41.4% | −12.1 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 35.9% | 25.3% | −10.6 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 28.3% | 18.1% | −10.2 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 23.1% | 32.7% | +9.6 |
| Newcastle | Champion | 30.8% | 21.3% | −9.6 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 34.5% | 25.1% | −9.4 |
| Arsenal | Champion | 17.2% | 26.2% | +9.0 |
| Nottingham | Relegation | 20.2% | 28.4% | +8.3 |
