Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Wimbledon beat Chelsea with a 23.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 14 (before the first match) against those on November 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham | Relegation | 17.4% | 47.8% | +30.4 |
| Manchester United | Champions League | 49.3% | 23.0% | −26.3 |
| Southampton | Relegation | 42.1% | 23.4% | −18.7 |
| Leicester City | Relegation | 43.7% | 25.8% | −17.8 |
| Manchester United | Champion | 27.0% | 9.9% | −17.0 |
| Sunderland | Relegation | 26.6% | 43.6% | +17.0 |
| Derby County | Relegation | 35.1% | 19.4% | −15.7 |
| Leeds United | Relegation | 16.3% | 28.7% | +12.4 |
| Middlesbrough | Relegation | 4.2% | 16.2% | +11.9 |
| Newcastle | Champions League | 40.5% | 49.2% | +8.6 |
