Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Osasuna beat Villarreal with a 16.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 3 (before the first match) against those on December 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | Champion | 24.4% | 77.8% | +53.4 |
| Levante | Relegation | 37.9% | 82.0% | +44.2 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 10.5% | 47.4% | +36.8 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 27.8% | 58.3% | +30.5 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 71.8% | 99.6% | +27.9 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 68.6% | 95.1% | +26.5 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 30.1% | 6.7% | −23.5 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 49.8% | 29.2% | −20.6 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 48.3% | 28.2% | −20.2 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 64.6% | 45.5% | −19.1 |
