Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Deportivo Alavés beat Cádiz with a 18.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 18 (before the first match) against those on October 25 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 65.4% | 49.7% | −15.6 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 59.3% | 47.9% | −11.4 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 35.6% | 46.2% | +10.6 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 48.6% | 58.6% | +10.1 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 70.0% | 79.0% | +8.9 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 23.3% | 31.9% | +8.6 |
| Levante | Relegation | 38.4% | 46.0% | +7.6 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 14.4% | 7.2% | −7.2 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 11.2% | 5.3% | −5.9 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 73.3% | 78.6% | +5.3 |
