Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Rayo Vallecano beat Athletic Club with a 13.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 20 (before the first match) against those on September 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 25.5% | 14.4% | −11.1 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 43.6% | 33.7% | −9.9 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 16.9% | 8.9% | −8.0 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 19.8% | 11.9% | −7.9 |
| Elche | Relegation | 26.2% | 33.3% | +7.2 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 40.1% | 47.1% | +7.1 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 61.5% | 54.5% | −7.1 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 18.6% | 12.1% | −6.5 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 64.0% | 70.3% | +6.3 |
| Levante | Relegation | 16.7% | 22.8% | +6.1 |
