Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 1 home win, 6 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Cádiz beat Celta Vigo with a 18.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 13 (before the first match) against those on September 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 33.6% | 19.8% | −13.8 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 25.6% | 36.5% | +10.9 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 55.3% | 65.2% | +9.9 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 22.7% | 31.8% | +9.0 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 30.6% | 22.5% | −8.1 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 69.1% | 77.0% | +7.9 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 23.9% | 18.6% | −5.3 |
| Celta Vigo | Relegation | 12.2% | 16.9% | +4.7 |
| Osasuna | Relegation | 11.4% | 6.8% | −4.7 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 65.6% | 61.5% | −4.0 |
