Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 2 draws and 5 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Elche beat Getafe with a 19.2% chance and Real Betis beat Granada with a 20.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 29 (before the first match) against those on December 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levante | Relegation | 18.1% | 81.9% | +63.8 |
| Real Madrid | Champion | 18.7% | 72.1% | +53.4 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 5.7% | 45.1% | +39.4 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 43.6% | 6.7% | −36.9 |
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 36.6% | 0.2% | −36.4 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 63.0% | 99.2% | +36.3 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 24.9% | 59.2% | +34.3 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 67.1% | 36.6% | −30.5 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 66.1% | 94.8% | +28.7 |
| Barcelona | Champion | 22.6% | 0.7% | −21.9 |
