Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Rayo Vallecano beat Granada with a 12.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 23 (before the first match) against those on August 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano | Relegation | 56.3% | 36.6% | −19.8 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 43.7% | 55.1% | +11.4 |
| Granada | Champions League | 26.1% | 15.9% | −10.1 |
| Valencia | Champions League | 10.0% | 17.3% | +7.3 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 29.7% | 23.0% | −6.7 |
| Espanyol | Relegation | 37.5% | 43.6% | +6.2 |
| Real Madrid | Champions League | 56.9% | 63.0% | +6.0 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 28.3% | 33.9% | +5.5 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 19.4% | 24.9% | +5.5 |
| Athletic Club | Champions League | 14.2% | 19.4% | +5.1 |
