Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 1 draw and 7 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Elche beat Real Betis with a 14.6% chance and Getafe beat Celta Vigo with a 20.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 18 (before the first match) against those on April 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca | Relegation | 56.9% | 35.4% | −21.6 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 25.7% | 42.9% | +17.2 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 25.8% | 10.9% | −14.9 |
| Real Sociedad | Conference League | 48.4% | 37.7% | −10.7 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 84.4% | 94.1% | +9.7 |
| Villarreal | Conference League | 14.8% | 24.3% | +9.5 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 89.9% | 98.5% | +8.6 |
| Villarreal | Europa League | 3.3% | 11.4% | +8.1 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 8.0% | 1.4% | −6.6 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 7.0% | 0.8% | −6.2 |
