Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 1 draw and 6 away wins. 4 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Osasuna beat Valencia with a 24.7% chance, Levante beat Granada with a 18.1% chance, Celta Vigo beat Athletic Club with a 24.1% chance, and Cádiz beat Barcelona with a 8.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 11 (before the first match) against those on April 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cádiz | Relegation | 56.7% | 25.7% | −31.0 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 35.2% | 56.9% | +21.7 |
| Granada | Relegation | 12.6% | 31.8% | +19.3 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 64.1% | 76.9% | +12.9 |
| Atlético Madrid | Europa League | 24.3% | 16.1% | −8.2 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 19.0% | 12.8% | −6.2 |
| Villarreal | Conference League | 9.6% | 14.8% | +5.2 |
| Elche | Relegation | 6.2% | 1.0% | −5.2 |
| Real Sociedad | Conference League | 43.2% | 48.4% | +5.1 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 89.5% | 84.4% | −5.1 |
