Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Mallorca beat Atlético Madrid with a 15.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 4 (before the first match) against those on April 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca | Relegation | 64.4% | 35.2% | −29.1 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 85.2% | 64.1% | −21.1 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 41.3% | 56.7% | +15.4 |
| Atlético Madrid | Europa League | 11.1% | 24.3% | +13.2 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 15.8% | 25.5% | +9.6 |
| Villarreal | Conference League | 17.7% | 9.6% | −8.1 |
| Real Sociedad | Champions League | 11.9% | 19.0% | +7.1 |
| Atlético Madrid | Conference League | 3.2% | 10.3% | +7.1 |
| Real Sociedad | Conference League | 37.1% | 43.2% | +6.1 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 83.8% | 89.5% | +5.7 |
