Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Levante beat Villarreal with a 19.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 20 (before the first match) against those on April 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | Europa League | 15.2% | 6.1% | −9.2 |
| Real Sociedad | Conference League | 28.6% | 37.1% | +8.6 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 55.8% | 64.4% | +8.5 |
| Villarreal | Conference League | 25.8% | 17.7% | −8.1 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 34.4% | 41.7% | +7.4 |
| Cádiz | Relegation | 46.7% | 41.3% | −5.3 |
| Getafe | Relegation | 7.8% | 2.6% | −5.2 |
| Sevilla | Champions League | 94.8% | 89.9% | −5.0 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 79.1% | 83.8% | +4.7 |
| Sevilla | Europa League | 4.1% | 8.4% | +4.3 |
