Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Cádiz beat Villarreal with a 22.4% chance and Barcelona beat Real Madrid with a 22.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on March 14 (before the first match) against those on March 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cádiz | Relegation | 67.6% | 46.7% | −20.9 |
| Deportivo Alavés | Relegation | 66.7% | 79.1% | +12.4 |
| Mallorca | Relegation | 43.9% | 55.8% | +12.0 |
| Atlético Madrid | Champions League | 71.8% | 82.2% | +10.3 |
| Barcelona | Champions League | 83.7% | 93.3% | +9.6 |
| Villarreal | Champions League | 13.1% | 4.2% | −8.9 |
| Granada | Relegation | 15.7% | 7.9% | −7.8 |
| Real Betis | Europa League | 26.9% | 34.4% | +7.5 |
| Real Betis | Champions League | 21.1% | 13.7% | −7.4 |
| Real Sociedad | Europa League | 19.2% | 26.1% | +6.8 |
